Stop! You Do NOT Know When Stocks Will Fall

Stop! You Do NOT Know When Stocks Will Fall

The “prediction addiction” is alive and well. Everyone on the planet has an opinion about the stock market direction, but mostly these are manifestations of deeply rooted behavioral biases. All forms of media overflow with stories about investing at “the right time”. Total nonsensical garbage. The “right time” is a myth.

Never mind, investors still clamor for the magic wand that will immunize them from possible market declines, all the while missing the actual increases. Not exactly a winning strategy.

Indeed, financial markets go up and down. Investing necessarily involves risk but this risk pales in comparison to the largest risk for most individuals, what we call “shortfall risk”. The combination of inflation, increasing life expectancies, and undersaving create a very difficult dilemma for many investors. Make no mistake, shortfall risk, the risk associated with declining lifestyle and running out of money, is a very real possibility for many people nearing retirement.

To solution to almost any big problem, the solution often creates a sense of discomfort. The U.S. Navy Seals have a saying : “Get comfortable being uncomfortable.” There is a direct connection between how “uncomfortable “ you are willing to become and solving shortfall risk. Being a “successful” investor means investing in a way that funds your specific objectives. This usually translates into being a permanent stock market investor.

Related: 12 Financial Truths (Including Some You Won't Like)

The right time to invest is anytime that you have money to invest. We rarely see clinets that have oversaved or over invested. No one knows when the market will reach the, (for now), temporary high. also don’t know where the market will bottom and start ascending once again. What we do know is that there have been about 57 market “corrections” since the end of World War II,(at least 10% declines), and during that 71 year period, the S&P 500 has increased about 165 times. If you can “get comfortable with being uncomfortable” and stop trying to get out of the market before trouble arises, you end up winning the game. If you can’t, and insist on trying to anticipate each correction, you lose the game. It’s just that simple. 

Our solitary focus is on helping clients "stay in their seat" and avoid lifestyle altering financial mistakes. The long term scientific evidence forms the framework for our advice. The primary determinant is successful investing has absolutely nothing to do with market timing and everything to do with behavior.

James E. Wilson
Advisor
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James founded South Carolina’s first fee-only financial planning firm in 1982 and is a pioneer in the financial planning field. He has advised hundreds of successful individ ... Click for full bio

NBA Player Carl Landry Demonstrates the Value of Persistence in Life and Work

NBA Player Carl Landry Demonstrates the Value of Persistence in Life and Work

Written by: Jon Sabes

When you meet Carl Landry, stand-out college basketball player and nine-year NBA player, you imagine that becoming a professional basketball star was a straight forward run for the 6-foot-nine-inch power forward. 


However, when you go deeper into Carl’s background, becoming a NBA professional was less than certain and little came easily to the 33-year-old from Milwaukee:

  • He was cut from his high school team as a freshman and averaged less than ten points a game when he did play as a senior.
  • He started his college career not at Purdue, but a junior college where it was not clear he would play.
  • When he finally got to Purdue, he tore his ACL in his knee his first year and reinjured it the next year.
  • While his family held a party for him the night of the NBA draft, he slept in the Philadelphia airport after missing a flight following a workout for the 76ers.
  • In the NBA playoffs, Carl had a tooth knocked out, but came back in the same game to make a game-winning blocked shot as the Rockets beat the Utah Jazz 94-92.
     

Landry, who I interviewed on my podcast, Innovating Life with Jon Sabes (www.jonsabes.com), is a remarkable example of the value of “persistence.” In a time where technology creates the image that anything is possible at the touch of a button, persistence is an under-appreciated trait. When I spoke with Carl, I clearly saw someone for whom success has only come through a force of will that made him a NBA player, but it also made him a better player every year he played. That’s the kind of personality that has produced greatness in business as well as sports.

Carl was, in fact, drafted that night he spent in the airport. The Seattle Supersonics chose him as the 31st overall pick and then traded him to the Houston Rockets where he rode the bench for much of the first half of the season. When All-Star teammate Yao Ming was injured, he stepped in and played a key role in the Rockets astonishing 22-game winning streak (the third longest streak in NBA history). And, that season, after sitting on the bench for 33 of the first 36 games, he was named to the All-Rookie second team.

Carl was the first in his family to go to college. “I told myself that this was my ticket out, so I did everything I possibly could to be the best person in school and also on the court,” he said.

His family life in Milwaukee showed him what he didn’t want to do. “Just being honest with you, seeing some my cousins, peers, they went to work for jobs paying six, seven dollars an hour or they didn’t go to work at all and then living off welfare. I didn’t want that.”

When he was first injured, he had to contemplate the end of a career before it even got started. “When you have an ACL tear, it’s over…no more basketball,” he told me. “I said, God, give me health again and I’ll do everything I can to leave it all out on the line and be a successful individual.”

On my podcast, Carl pointed out another interesting lesson he learned in the NBA: Not doing things just to fit in.

“Fitting in was easy,” he said. “Doing everything that everybody else does was easy. If I stood out in some type of way, I’m going to have different results. I’m going to have stand-out results.”


That’s called the “Law of Contrast” and it produces that exact effect of changing the outcomes that everyone else is experiencing.  Carl is smart, he recognized that differences make a difference, and doing whatever it takes is what is required to make real, meaningful differences.

Every off-season for the last 11 years, he has run a camp for kids in Milwaukee where he tells youth his story of hard work and persistence. “I always tell the kids to apply themselves and always be persistent,” he said. “If you dream, apply yourself and be persistent. With hard work, man, the sky’s the limit.”

When Carl says the sky’s the limit he means it.  He is smart to recognize that it’s important to dream big, because if we don’t – we may be selling ourselves short. “You have to dream bigger than your mind could ever imagine,” he said. “I wanted a nice house. I wanted a nice car. I said, and I got all of that. So, what do I do, do I stop now? Maybe I didn’t dream big enough.” That’s a big statement coming from a kid who grew up to be the first in his family to graduate college and go on to be not only a top NBA basketball start, but a good businessman, father and someone who gives back to the community.

I’m convinced that in whatever he takes on as a basketball player or in his post-hoops career, Carl Landry is not going to stop getting better at whatever he does, and in the process of doing so, make the world a better place.

GWG Holdings, Inc.
Investing in Life
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GWG Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq:GWGH) the parent company of GWG Life, is a financial services company committed to transforming the life insurance industry through disruptive and i ... Click for full bio