Three Keys to Surviving the Next Correction
As most of us discovered in South Carolina’s historic flood, it is best to prepare for extreme conditions when everything is calm. The same principle applies to how we think about our investments. It is good to become emotionally prepared for market price variability when all is well.
The S&P 500 Index has declined 10% or more 28 times since 1950; 20% or more nine times; and 30% or more five times during this period. The flip-side is that the S&P 500 was valued at about 17 on January 1, 1950, and is at about 2100 now. The intervening years have brought about all types of scares and random events but the upward trend has continued despite all of those headwinds. There are three keys to keeping your cool when markets turn south:
1. First, consider your entire adult life as your investing time horizon.
That is, if you are age 55 for example, your investment life might be another 40 years. Not everyone will live until age 95 or later, but a good percentage will. If you have a 40-year time horizon, you will likely live through many market pullbacks (see above). Nothing to see here.
2. Next, beware of your behavioral blind spots.
We all have them, even if we think we don’t. We sometimes refer to “the three B’s”—blind spots, biases and behavior. Emotions play a major role in all of our financial choices. In times of stress, herding, or following the crowd can be a costly bias. Feelings of fear, panic and remorse can lead you to make poor choices. Relax and remember you are running a marathon, not a sprint. The long- term trends work in your favor...if you don’t get in their way. With a hat-tip to football season, remember that you don’t have to react to the play-by-play commentary. In fact, you don't even have to listen.
3. Finally, focus on your “why", that is, your reason for investing.
Money means different things to everyone. Remember what you are trying to accomplish financially and why you have accepted the inevitable, if unpredictable, risk associated with investing.
Your financial life is not separate from other aspects of your life. Money plays a role in almost everything you do. Even small financial choices are real...treat them that way.
You stand a much better chance of surviving the next correction if your investments reflect your goals...your values. Is your strategy all set?
Understanding ETF Liquidity and Trading
Written by: ProShares
ETFs offer attractive features—access to a broad range of asset classes, sectors and styles in a liquid, transparent and cost-effective vehicle. But before using that vehicle, it’s helpful to understand how it works, especially the sources of ETF liquidity and the mechanics of trading them. Understanding these points may help you improve execution when buying and selling ETFs.
The Primary Market—Creation/Redemption of ETF Shares
Most investors trade ETFs on stock exchanges in the secondary market. But the actual creation and redemption of ETF shares occur in the primary market, between the ETF and authorized participants (APs)1—the only parties who transact directly with the ETF. The APs’ ability to continuously create and redeem shares allows them to meet the supply and demand needs of investors, making them key liquidity providers in the secondary market.
Creation. This is how APs introduce new ETF shares to the secondary market.
- In-kind—The AP creates ETF shares in large increments—known as creation units—by acquiring the securities that make up the benchmark the fund tracks in their appropriate weightings and amounts to reach creation unit size (blocks ranging from 25,000 to 100,000 fund shares). The AP then delivers those securities to the ETF in exchange for ETF shares.
- Cash—Alternatively, APs can create ETF shares by exchanging the appropriate amount of cash for ETF shares, for what’s known as a cash create. Often, ETF shares are created using a combination of securities and cash.
- The AP then offers the ETF shares for sale in the secondary market, where they are traded between buyers and sellers on an exchange.
Redemption. This follows the same process in reverse.
- The AP redeems ETF shares in large increments—known as redemption units—by acquiring them in the secondary market and transferring them to the ETF in exchange for the underlying securities or cash (or both) in the appropriate weightings and amounts.
The Secondary Market—Costs and Mechanics of Trading ETF Shares
Costs of Trading. In the secondary market, firms that specialize in buying and selling ETF shares—APs or market makers2 (liquidity providers)—trade them to provide market liquidity and make a profit. This profit margin is embedded in the bid/ask spread, which reflects the implicit costs of trading ETFs.
Bid/ask spread is the difference between the bid—the highest price at which a buyer is willing to buy shares—and the ask—the lowest price at which a seller is willing to sell ETF shares. Three key factors impact the bid/ask spread:
- Creation/redemption fees charged by the ETF provider to the AP.
- Spread of the underlying securities—The bid/ask spread and liquidity of the securities that make up the ETF affect the liquidity and the bid/ask spread of the ETF itself. When there are many bids and offers on a security, it is easy to buy and sell, thus the bid/ask spread tends to be tight. When securities are less liquid, the spread is wider, making the cost to acquire them higher. The higher the cost of acquiring the underlying securities, the wider the ETF bid/ask spread.
- Risk or hedging costs—Holding ETFs entails certain risks, which need to be hedged. Liquidity providers use a variety of financial instruments, including futures, options and other ETFs, to hedge this risk. The more instruments they have to choose from, the lower their hedging costs and the lower the bid/ask spread. The higher the risk, the wider the spread.
ETF bid/ask spread = Creation/redemption fees + spread of underlying securities + risk
Executing Large Orders—Tapping Into Deeper Pools of Liquidity
There are two common ways to execute larger trades directly with liquidity providers, both allowing investors to access deeper pools of liquidity than those offered in the quoted secondary market alone:
- Risk trade—A liquidity provider will quote a price for an ETF at a given size. If that price is accepted, the trade is executed and the liquidity provider assumes the market risk of providing the liquidity at execution.
- Create/redeem—For orders that are large enough, it may make sense to work with an AP to create or redeem shares. This type of transaction is usually executed at either the closing market price of the ETF or at the NAV of the ETF plus fees or commissions.
Mechanics of Trading. To fully consider an ETF’s total costs, it is important to understand the dynamics of trading. In general, two types of orders are commonly used to trade ETF shares:
- Limit order—Buy or sell ETF shares at a specified price. One way investors decide at what price to enter a limit order is to look at the IOPV3 as a guidepost. Limit orders may help investors get the best price, but there’s a risk the order will not be filled.
- Market order—Buy or sell immediately at the prevailing price available at the time. With market orders, execution may be faster, but the investor has limited control over the execution price.
While a large number of transactions are executed using limit or market orders, investors often find their order is larger than the quoted market. There may be “hidden” liquidity within the quote that can be accessed in the market using limit or market orders. However, in some cases, it may make sense to execute trades directly through a liquidity provider. How and when to place an ETF order can depend on many factors, including price sensitivity, level of urgency and overall goals for the portfolio. Determining what factors matter most can help determine the best execution strategy.
Questions? Our capital markets experts can help. Learn more about our ETFs here.
1 An AP is a U.S. registered, self-clearing broker/dealer who signs an agreement with an ETF provider or distributor to become an authorized participant of a fund.
2 A market maker is a broker/dealer that buys and sells securities (or ETFs) from its own inventory to facilitate trading in those securities. Most APs are market makers, but not all market makers are APs.
3 IOPV is the Indicative Optimized Portfolio Value—the intraday net asset value of the basket of underlying securities
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. ProShares are non-diversified and each entails certain risks, which may include risk associated with the use of derivatives (swap agreements, futures contracts and similar instruments), imperfect benchmark correlation, leverage and market price variance, all of which can increase volatility and decrease performance. Please see their summary and full prospectuses for a more complete description of risks. Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the prospectus; read carefully before investing; obtain at ProShares.com. There is no guarantee any ProShares ETF will achieve its investment objective.
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